Option FanaticOptions, stock, futures, and system trading, backtesting, money management, and much more!

The Naked Put (Part I)

In the quest for consistent trading profits, I have turned to option income trading:  the establishment of a positive theta position.  Theta is an “option greek” that describes what will happen to your P/L as each day passes.  When you establish a positive theta position, you can expect to make daily money from time decay.

In theory, this is best understood by assuming no change in stock price from now until expiration.  On March 19, AAPL stock closed at $601.10.  I can sell an April 510 put for about $2.40.  If AAPL remains at $601 then with the passage of each day, I stand to make about $14.  When the option expires worthless in 33 days, the entire $240 will be mine.

Of course, no free lunch exists with option trading [or anything else?].  In exchange for the $14/day, I have taken on the obligation to buy 100 shares of AAPL for $510/share (the “strike price”) on or before April 21.  As long as AAPL remains above the strike price, nobody in their right mind would have me buy their shares for $510 each because they could sell on the open market for a higher price.  This is why the 510 put would expire worthless.

As with all aspects of trading and investing, option income trading is paired with risk.  In future posts, I’ll talk more about this risk, volatility, and different aspects of option trading that I am fanatical about.

Prevent Huge Portfolio Losses

One key to success in trading and investing is to prevent huge portfolio losses.  If you lose 50% of your portfolio, for example, then you have to gain 100% just to get back to even.  Off the top of my head, I can think of three ways to limit huge portfolio losses:

1. Diversify

What this really means is to include uncorrelated assets in your portfolio.  “Uncorrelated” means prices tend not to move in sync.  For example, if one goes up, the other goes sideways or down.  Alternatively, if one goes way down then the other goes up, sideways, or down a little.

The danger of diversification is that in extreme circumstances correlation can go to 1, which means everything moves together.  You could be invested in markets that had historically been uncorrelated but when the crash hits, everything goes down.  We saw this in fall 2008 when gold, bonds, and the stock markets all fell precipitously for a while.

2. Position size to limit total exposure.

If you are only 10% invested then the most you could ever lose if that asset (e.g. stock) goes to zero is 10%.  The remaining 90% of your portfolio would be in cash.

3. Buy puts

Put options profit when their underlying markets fall.  Options were originally created to serve as insurance and this is exactly what long puts can do.

Other ways of achieving this goal are to short markets or to buy inverse ETFs.