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Practice Trades BWB+Cal 1.3 (Part 2)

Today, I want to finish reviewing the backtrade discussed last time.

Were I to take the [farther OTM] prescribed adjustment at 11 DTE (fourth paragraph here):

First adjustment when near first adjustment point (1-27-21)

Loss here is $960 here on consequent margin requirement (MR) of $15,735 (-6.1%).

Second adjustment point is hit with 7 DTE and trade down $1,285 (8.2%):

Second adjustment after adjusting NEAR first adjustment point (1-27-21)

This puts me down $1,915, which is 7.2% of consequent MR $26,570. The T+x lines are more positive than negative, which is good. This is a somewhat directional trade with NPD 53, but TD is a robust 12.

I become profitable (+$209) the very next trading day.

Two days later at 4 DTE, I hit the profit target up $2,385 (+9%):

Exit after adjusting at first adjustment point and once thereafter (1-27-21)

Whether done “right” or “wrong,” this seems like a challenging trade because of the need to stare big unrealized losses in the face (-$2,920 by ignoring first adjustment point and -$1,915 by following guidelines). The only way to avoid these big losses would be to monitor adjustment points continuously, which violates the once-daily monitoring concept of the strategy.

The losses may not be extraordinarily large on a percentage basis if I position size for a potential 2-3x capital expansion. I just don’t yet know how the numbers pan out over a large sample size of trades. Those reaching profit target without adjustment will earn 5% of a minimal MR. A % ROI profit target inversely proportional to current MR could make sense.

This is probably an age-old question that pertains to any strategy where adjustment significantly impacts MR.

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